Oscars 2026: Will Sinners Receive a Best Picture Nomination?

Oscars 2026: Will Sinners Receive a Best Picture Nomination?
Sinners is currently the eighth highest-grossing film of the year and has received acclaim from top critics and audiences, placing it in a strong position for multiple award nominations this year.
Variety’s Clayton Davis has helped generate Oscar buzz for the flick, claiming it is “the first Oscar movie of 2025” and that it has Best Picture potential due to its critical and commercial success.
If you’re eager to know if it is worthy of the statuette, keep reading to learn if Sinners is likely to receive a Best Picture nomination at the Oscars 2026.
The trajectory of the odds for this BEO bet indicates it is most probable Avatar: Fire and Ash will receive a Best Picture nomination at the Oscars 2026 ::: Discover the latest Bet Entertainment Odds predictions for this market.
Oscar Buzz is Building for Sinners
It might seem a little early to talk about the Academy Awards, as the 2025 ceremony only took place a few months ago, but Oscar buzz is building for Sinners already.
LEADERBOARD
Oscars 2026: Early Best Picture Contenders to Watch
# | Bet Options | Chance to Win | Trend |
---|---|---|---|
Implied Projected Winner Avatar: Fire and Ash - Yes | 38.08% | ||
Implied Projected Winner Wicked: For Good - Yes | 35.6% | ||
Implied Projected Winner Sinners - Yes | 35.36% |
As mentioned, top critics have suggested the supernatural horror film is worthy of a Best Picture nomination, thanks to its performances, storytelling, direction, and cinematography.
Also, the film’s glowing reviews and box office success mean it’s likely to be considered by the Academy ahead of the voting process.
A Competitive Oscar Race
2025 is full to the brim with exciting films, which are expected to earn much critical acclaim following their release this year.
For instance, Avatar: Fire and Ash is expected to follow in the footsteps of the first two flicks from the Avatar series by earning a Best Picture nod. As a result, BEO betting odds indicate it is most likely to earn a nomination at the Oscars 2026.
Also, a Best Picture nomination might be inevitable for Wicked: For Good, as Wicked Part One earned a nod in the category in 2025.
Plus, After the Hunt, starring Oscar-winner Julia Roberts, is expected to prove popular with audiences and critics later this year, as is One Battle After Another, starring Oscar-winner Leonardo DiCaprio.
Other potential threats for the Best Picture nod include Marty Supreme, Hamnet, Frankenstein, The Ballad of a Small Player, and Sentimental Value, to name a few movies.
As many of the above films are timed for release close to the award season, Sinners runs the risk of slipping from the Academy members’ memories when placing their vote. However, a successful lobbying campaign could keep the flick fresh in their minds during award season.
Of course, it is difficult to predict who will win until the above films and more have been released ahead of awards season.
The Academy Will Decide the Best Picture Nominees
While critics and movie lovers might adore Sinners or one of the above films, the decision ultimately comes down to the thousands of Academy members’ tastes.
As a result, the film will need to tap into the Academy’s collective preferences to earn their vote for a Best Picture nomination.
As only a handful of films will receive a nomination, Sinners will need to stand out from the tough competition to secure a place in the category in 2026. However, recent positive reviews prove it has what it takes to earn a nomination and potentially win the award.
Unfortunately, you will need to have patience to see if it will receive a nod in the prestigious category, as the nominees won’t be announced for the Oscars 2026 until Thursday, January 22, 2026.
If you believe Sinners will receive a Best Picture nomination at the Oscars 2026, you could win $285.60 by betting $100 if it happens.