Which Film Will Take Home Best Picture at the 2025 David di Donatello Awards?

Which Film Will Take Home Best Picture at the 2025 David di Donatello Awards?
As Italy’s most prestigious film awards, the David di Donatello Awards, approach their 70th ceremony on May 7, 2025, the race for Best Film (Miglior Film) is capturing significant attention. Often likened to the Italian Oscars, these awards celebrate the best of Italian cinema from the past year. This year, the competition appears particularly intense, but early indicators from BEO Betting Odds suggest a potential frontrunner is emerging.
BEO Betting Odds Signal Berlinguer. La grande ambizione as the Favorite
According to the latest figures from BEO Betting Odds, Berlinguer. La grande ambizione is currently leading the pack for the Best Film award. The odds stand at 1.83, which translates to an implied probability of 54.64%. This suggests a strong confidence level in the betting market for Segre’s film, which chronicles a crucial period in the life of Italian Communist Party leader Enrico Berlinguer, portrayed by Elio Germano (who is also nominated for Best Actor). The film, which secured a total of 15 nominations alongside Parthenope, clearly resonates with the themes and historical reflections often favored by awards bodies. Its significant nomination count across major categories further bolsters its position as a serious contender.
For the latest odds breakdown, visit betentodds.com.
Runner-Up: Paolo Sorrentino’s Parthenope Remains a Major Contender
While Segre’s film holds the top spot in the betting odds, the runner-up position, according to BEO Betting Odds, belongs to Paolo Sorrentino’s Parthenope. Sorrentino, an internationally acclaimed director, brings considerable prestige to the race. Parthenope, which also garnered 15 nominations, offers a sweeping narrative following its titular character against the backdrop of Naples from the 1950s to the present day. Having premiered at Cannes, the film has already generated international buzz and is potentially poised to catch up with the frontrunner as the awards ceremony nears. The head-to-head nomination count suggests the race might be tighter than the current odds imply.
Expert Predictions Yet to Emerge
Interestingly, despite the clear indications from BEO Betting Odds and the nomination tallies, specific expert predictions regarding the Best Film winner are scarce at this stage. This contrasts with the betting market’s assessment, leaving room for speculation and potential shifts in consensus as the awards night approaches. The lack of published expert forecasts might reflect the perceived closeness of the race between the top contenders or simply the timing within the awards cycle. As critics and industry insiders weigh in closer to the ceremony, a clearer picture might form, potentially aligning with or diverging from the betting odds.
Final Thoughts: Berlinguer Leads, but Suspense Remains
Based on the current BEO Betting Odds, Andrea Segre’s Berlinguer. La grande ambizione holds the edge in the race for Best Film at the 2025 David di Donatello Awards. Its strong probability percentage and significant nomination haul position it as the film to beat. However, Paolo Sorrentino’s Parthenope stands as a powerful runner-up with equal nominations and the director’s considerable influence. With other highly nominated films like Vermiglio and L’arte della gioia also in the mix, and a notable absence of early expert predictions, the outcome is far from guaranteed. The 70th David di Donatello ceremony promises suspense and a celebration of a strong year for Italian cinema.